VCs try to pick winners among possible portfolio companies, but enterprise IT is increasingly tasked with figuring out the open-source projects that will gather the most momentum and emulate Linux's success. The problem, however, is that despite a range of attributes open-source projects need to succeed, the breakout successes remain "Black Swans," coming out of nowhere to dominate the industry. In this session, Matt Asay will highlight key attributes to look for in open-source projects worth bringing into the enterprise, and against the backdrop of Black Swan theory will identify ways to predict the unpredictable: the next big open-source project.